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2024-12-14 00:14:06

Today's sharp decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, which shows that the rising market lacks a receiver, and the falling profit-taking market is eager to sell. In other words, the power to do more is shrinking and the short-selling power is increasing.A shares do not have strong support at 3400 points. Today, it oscillated around this position, and deliberately did not fall below it in the morning. After the breakdown in the afternoon, it was pulled again, just to lure more and stifle the bottom-hunting funds. Therefore, next week's A shares are the most tormenting.What needs to be understood here is: the main players are actually the biggest shorts, but when they are short, they must have takeover funds. To find takeover funds, they must accurately control the psychology of retail investors' funds. They like to rise, so show them that they don't believe it for one day, and they will rise for two days until they believe it. There are two days of attracting more on Wednesday and Thursday, one day attracting more, and the main force is worried that the retail investors will not believe it. Then it will come again, and it will rise sharply on Thursday. Judging from the atmosphere after yesterday's closing, the bullish people have increased today. Some stock critics even said that Tuesday's high opening and low walking was the main force attracting funds. I was shocked and didn't know whether it was the main force being stupid or what.


Today, A-shares fell, and there was a general decline in the two cities. This is also a reaction to yesterday's general increase, but today's intraday decline is large, and the lethality cannot be underestimated. What impact does today's trend have on the market outlook of A-shares? Is the trend broken? Who is the biggest killer of retail investors? Now, let me talk about my own views.Today, A-shares fell, and there was a general decline in the two cities. This is also a reaction to yesterday's general increase, but today's intraday decline is large, and the lethality cannot be underestimated. What impact does today's trend have on the market outlook of A-shares? Is the trend broken? Who is the biggest killer of retail investors? Now, let me talk about my own views.However, the next adjustment of A-shares is also worrying. This wave of pullback will be relatively large. We will refer to the 8% decline from 3509 on November 8 to 3227 on November 27. The adjustment will not exceed the last time, but it will reach 5%, which is also a drop of nearly 170 points. This is something we should be psychologically prepared for.


Attracting more is not only a rise, but also a fall. The obvious thing is to hold a key position, not to fall below it after falling, or to pull it up quickly after breaking, attracting bargain-hunting funds. Rising is to attract chasing high funds.Everyone should treat this adjustment correctly. At present, the short-term upward channel of A shares has not been destroyed. We should treat the current decline objectively and don't over-interpret it. Although there are many unfavorable factors facing A shares at present, such as the exhaustion of positive factors, the large increase of its own, the accelerated net outflow of main funds, the inability to effectively enlarge the trading volume, and the securities sector taking the lead in adjustment, we still can't judge that the short-term trend of A shares has changed fundamentally, but can only be regarded as a shocking process, which is what I often say is the process of constantly building a long trap.In the morning, the net outflow of A-share main funds was 48.3 billion yuan, and it reached 66.7 billion yuan at 2 pm, which shows that after 1: 30 pm, many bargain-hunting funds entered.

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